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Duncan Weldon

  • Monday, 16 June, 2025
    Markets InsightGlobal Economy
    What history tells us about the impact of an oil price jolt

    The effects of anything short of a major disruption in Middle Eastern output are likely to be contained

  • Sunday, 19 January, 2025
    Markets InsightUS dollar
    The consensus on a strong dollar may be too complacent

    There are at least three reasons why the greenback might not follow the script currently signalled by markets

  • Friday, 21 April, 2023
    UK labour disputes
    Britain’s economy is not back in the 1970s — yet

    Then, as now, the government was dealing with concurrent crises but the circumstances are quite different this time

    A disgruntled pedestrian walks to work amid piles of rubbish which has accumulated because of a strike by council dustmen in 1970
  • Friday, 10 March, 2023
    UK business
    Making UK fiscal policy dull again is only storing up trouble

    Jeremy Hunt’s determination to exorcise ghosts means Britain’s long-term problems will continue to go unaddressed

    Jonathan McHugh illustration of Jeremy Hunt holding up the UK’s red Treasury briefcase, which is splattered in grey paint, in front of him, while holding a paint brush in his other hand
  • Thursday, 29 December, 2022
    Markets InsightUK economy
    UK will have to rely more on the kindness of strangers

    With the Bank of England unwinding its gilt portfolio, the country will need more buying from foreign investors

    Bank of England and UK coat of arms
  • Friday, 14 October, 2022
    UK financial crisis
    There will be a risk premium on UK assets as long as Truss holds power

    The prime minister's volte-face may initially reassure markets but the credibility of British policymaking has been damaged

    Montage image of Jeremy Hunt, the new chancellor, next to the Bank of England
  • Tuesday, 27 September, 2022
    Markets InsightUK interest rates
    Treacherous path ahead for Bank of England and markets

    Either interest rates will have to rise to levels that will crush demand or sterling risks falling further, adding to inflation

    The Bank of England in central London
  • Friday, 5 August, 2022
    UK business
    Britain has no good options as the threat of recession looms

    The hit to households from the downturn will be worse than anything that followed the financial crisis

  • Tuesday, 29 January, 2019
    ReviewHistory books
    Nine Crises by William Keegan — from devaluation to Brexit

    An insightful look back at 50 years of British economic history

    British Prime Minister James Callaghan, second from left, chairing his first meeting of the National Economic Development Council in 1976, with Chancellor of the Exchequer Denis Healey, far left
  • Sunday, 17 April, 2016
    Future of work
    Fear of the robots is founded in the messy reality of labour

    Political context matters in the face of rapid technological change, writes Duncan Weldon

    epa05200336 Commercial handout image released by Associazione VDMA Robotics + Automation on 08 March 2016. AUTOMATICA is the international trade fair for robotics and automation and the central meeting point for manufacturers and users of integrated assembly solutions, robotics, machine vision and professional service robotics. AUTOMATICA 2016 takes place in Munich from June 21 - 24, 2016. www.automatica-munich.com. EPA/VDMA / HANDOUT EPA/VDMA / HANDOUT HANDOUT EPA COMMERCIAL FEED/EDITORIAL USE ONLY/NO SALES
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