Trump’s tariff war brings with it unpredictability and a consequent loss of confidence
Emerging economies outside of Asia becoming ‘development-free zone’, lender says
Organisation slashes forecasts and says US will be hit particularly hard
The IMF is trying to make sense of the unknowable
Forecasts downgraded for a dozen G20 economies and alarm sounded on ‘ratcheting up’ of trade barriers
Taking drive for deregulation too far could push the US on to a ‘dangerous boom-bust path’, fund cautions
The US dominates at FT Money’s annual investment panel — much to some participants’ annoyance
Clare Lombardelli says frictions would dent productivity as she voices concerns over domestic inflation
And the sustainability of US growth outperformance
Officials fear rules-based order is under threat as race for US presidency enters final days
But significant downside risks will continue to pose a challenge for policymakers
Political and economic uncertainties drag on business and household mood, Brookings-FT Tiger index shows
Some recent reviews highlight vague language and fuzzy policy
Why what we consider to be economic activity matters
For the first time in two decades, the potential for a step up in western growth is real and promising
We now have an important ingredient for progress that we did not in the past — political will
Beijing’s exponential growth in renewables is propelling a dangerous narrative that masks wider political failure
Causes of the policy panacea remain mysterious but we do know that it is going to require bold ideas
Scarring from a series of shocks generates a defensive mindset that is holding back growth
Consider its scale, scope and speed
Growth is picking up in the short term, but fears are mounting of a stagnant decade, with bleak political consequences
Fund also upgrades inflation forecasts as strong demand and tight labour market delay possible Fed rate cuts
Short-term performance has been surprisingly good but policymakers are walking on eggshells
As western governments shy away from debt reduction and structural reform, investors must reassess their view of ‘safe’ assets
Brookings-FT Tiger index shows ‘positive omens’ for modest pick-up compared with last year
